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Links to companies and organizations mentioned in this article

 

Arbor Networks

430 Bedford Street

Suite 160

Lexington, MA 02420

781-684-0900

www.arbornetworks.com

 

Check Point Software Technologies

3 Lagoon Drive

Suite 400

Redwood City, CA 94605

650-628-2000

www.checkpoint.com  

Mazu Networks

125 Cambridge Park Drive

4th Floor

Cambridge, MA 02140

617-352-9292

www.mazunetworks.com

Sana Security

2121 South El Camino Real

Suite 700

San Mateo, CA 94403

650-292-7100

www.sanasecurity.com

 

IBM's Tivoli Systems

11301 Burnet Rd.

Austin, Texas 78758

512 436-8000

www.tivoli.com

 

Webscreen Technology Ltd.

Index House

St. George's Lane

Ascot

Berkshire, U.K. SL5 7EU

+44 1344 636 339

www.webscreen-technology.com

 

Carnegie Mellon University's Computer Emergency Response Team (CERT)

CERT Coordination Center

Software Engineering Institute

Carnegie Mellon University

Pittsburgh, PA 15213

24-hour hotline: 412-268-7090

www.cert.org  

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Personal Information Technology Report

January 14, 2003

In this issue:

Network security takes center stage

Running in circles

 

Network Security takes center stage

 

The story in brief: Corporate IT departments, along with the managed service providers and outsourcing companies they turn to, are under more pressure to demonstrate they can safeguard networks against intrusion and attack without degrading performance or making it difficult for e-commerce systems to work properly. At one time, it was enough to erect a firewall and go online. Today, quality security requires immediate adaptability to new threats and a response mechanism that detects and confronts an attack before any damage occurs.

 

The relative simplicity of Internet Protocol (IP) networking, the spread of e-commerce tools to small- and medium-sized businesses, and the fast uptake of technologies such as wireless local area networks (WLANs), have all contributed to greater vulnerability of enterprise networks. At the same time, there is heightened concern about attacks on the larger network infrastructure from loosely organized hackers to outright terrorists.  

There is no doubt that attacks are increasing. Carnegie Mellon University's Computer Emergency Response Team (CERT) Coordination Center received 73,359 incident reports in the first three quarters of 2002, compared to 21,756 received in all of 2001.

 

In separate incidents in 2001, the Melissa virus and Code Red Worm infected hundreds of thousands of servers. What gave network engineers greater pause was the October attack on nine of the 13 Internet root servers -- the machines that sit at the top of the Internet hierarchy and manage IP assignations to keep traffic moving. The attacker attempted to overwhelm the root servers' processing capabilities with a flood of bogus IP messages, with the aim of choking off legitimate Internet packet traffic. On other occasions, the attack strategy, known as distributed denial of service (DDoS), has shut down specifically targeted websites, including MTV.com and Amazon.com. While the Internet root servers weathered the attack well, it was a pointed reminder that no one's immune.

 

The security boomlet

 

General IT spending is expected to grow slowly in 2003, but enterprise customers say security systems will get the bulk of the investment, creating something of a boomlet amid an otherwise slow market. Worldwide spending on Internet security will go from $6.2 billion in 2001 to a projected $8.5 billion this year, according to UBS Warburg.

 

Security strategies are changing, too. As e-commerce and Web services make closer links between servers necessary and desirable, firewalls cannot be as effective as they once were. Web services platforms, such as Microsoft's .NET, are designed to bring together Internet resources on a case-by-case basis to support electronic transactions. Depending on the circumstances, an organization may want a particular Extensible Mark-Up Language (XML) command from an outside server to go through its firewall; at other times, it may not.

 

Therefore, network security is moving away from the fortress model to one more analogous to community policing. The fortress model, using firewalls and intrusion detection systems, keeps intruders out, but creates bottlenecks. Intrusion detection systems, erring on the side of caution, will often "cry wolf" or prevent legitimate e-mail and documents from the field from getting to their destination.

 

The new security model assumes bad elements will sometimes get through, but like a constable on the beat, aims to identify and remove them before they can do any damage.

 

Hence, a shift toward more dynamic methods of intrusion protection systems that monitor the network continually and make intelligent, pro-active decisions to thwart and contain potential attacks.  

 

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Security means more than a firewall

 

An organization's information systems can be compromised in a number of ways for a number of reasons. Each involves different motives and calls for different countermeasures. Here are three specific security issues.

 

Theft of resources

Intruder uses fake or stolen passwords, or exploits poor control of access, to gain unauthorized use of bandwidth, storage or processing power.  A typical example is wireless "wardriving," where an unauthorized user attempts to gain Internet access through unprotected corporate wireless LANs. Countermeasures include password-protection, VPN tunneling to bolster basic firewalls.

 

Theft of data

Intruder's motive is profit or gain, either through capture or diversion of proprietary information, customer data or financial transactions. Intruder operates like a burglar, using high degree of stealth and programming skill to avoid both detection and identification. Intruder seeks to exploit security weaknesses in servers and databases that lie behind firewalls. Countermeasures include dynamic password protection, tokens, data encryption, and strong policy management.

 

Vandalism/Terrorism

Intruder's goal is wholesale disruption or destruction of network resources and/or data. Weapons include worms, viruses and denial of service (DoS) attacks. Attacker needs moderate programming skill required to get past initial intrusion detection systems, but the approach is hit-and-run and targets can be widely scattered. Countermeasures include up-to-date antivirus software, effective server back-up and redundancy and intrusion protection systems that identify real-time deviations in traffic and take pro-active action.

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A new generation of security software from start-ups such as Mazu Networks, Sana Security, Arbor Networks and Webscreen Technologies is hitting the market now. Meanwhile, more established vendors, such as Check Point Software and IBM's Tivoli Systems, are adding new security components into their existing product lines.

 

In addition to large enterprises, all these companies are looking for sales among managed service providers, to whom businesses and organizations of all sizes are turning over Internet and Web operations. For example, not only is Tivoli's access management software a major component of AT&T's internal security platform, it's part of the managed services AT&T provides for customers such as Coca-Cola.

 

Telus Corp., the top managed service provider in western Canada, uses software from Arbor Networks. Mazu Networks, which counts MTV Networks and the New York Mercantile Exchange as customers, has been in discussions with Cable & Wireless's Exodus Communications, which hosts Netflix, Yahoo! and Nintendo.

 

Intrusion Prevention

 

The new systems build statistical models of normal network traffic and usage. These models extend to tracking levels of packet traffic from various other servers, say an e-commerce partner, which may rise and fall regularly throughout the course of a day or month. Should the system suddenly start receiving large volumes of packets from heretofore-unknown addresses, as they would in the event of a DDoS attack, the systems take corrective action, in most cases filtering IP traffic from a potential DDoS source. Each vendor has its proprietary approach. Sana Security compares its method to biological immune systems: the system surrounds, isolates and neutralizes attacking packets. Mazu Networks' PowerSecure software can be configured to monitor deviations from network usage patterns within organizations. This is especially important as a great deal of computer crime involves inside access. For example, Mazu software will set off alarms if a PC in the purchasing department shows marked increase in transactions with a server in payroll.

 

System security may be service providers' major selling point through 2003. Too often a user's approach is to put in a solution and revisit it only occasionally, if at all. Security these days is more than an annual or semi-annual installation or upgrade. Since new attacks are constantly appearing, and no network is without weakness, service providers are in a great position to bring the dedicated attention required to stay up-to-date on new problems as well as the resources to keep their own server farms updated with the latest defenses.

 

It's another strength that managed service providers bring to the equation.  

 

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Running in circles

 

First [the Dodo] marked out a race-course, in a sort of circle, and then all the party were placed along the course, here and there. There was no "One, two, three, and away!" but they all began running when they liked, and left off when they liked, so it was not easy to know when the race was over. However, when they had been running half an hour or so...the Dodo suddenly called out "The race is over!" and they all crowded round it, panting, and asking, "But who has won?"

This question the Dodo could not answer without a great deal of thought, and it stood for a long time with one finger pressed upon its forehead...while the rest waited in silence. At last the Dodo said, "Everybody has won, and all must have prizes."

 

--Lewis Carroll, Alice's Adventures in Wonderland  

 

The Story in Brief: In their race for local exchange customers, are the Baby Bells, AT&T and WorldCom just running in circles while the market turns to cable and wireless companies for broadband service? And, like the Wonderland racers, are they just waiting for the FCC to declare everyone a winner and start distributing prizes in the form of protected franchises?

 

We can be certain that Lewis Carroll did not have U.S. telecommunications policy in mind when he described the Dodo's caucus race, but possessed of a keen sense of satire, he would have appreciated its applicability to the recent policy battles in Washington on local exchange competition.

 

Last week, Federal Communications Commission Chairman Michael Powell proposed major changes in the unbundled network elements platform (UNE-P), the wholesale pricing structure that requires the regional Bell holding companies to lease network access to would-be competitors. The proposal, which would change federally-mandated pricing policies for central office switch access, had been expected for several months and appears to be a response to stepped-up Bell lobbying for changes in UNE-P, which the companies claim forces them to rent network components -- such as switching ports and physical copper lines -- below cost.

 

Competitors such as AT&T and WorldCom, which have begun to make inroads in local markets against the Bells, say they would not be able to compete -- and consumers won't benefit -- without the UNE-P structure, which was mandated by the Telecom Act of 1996. While the FCC has leaned toward the Bell point of view, competitors have tended to get a more sympathetic hearing at the state and local regulatory levels. So Powell's action could set up an extended policy battle between federal and state policymakers.

 

Each side has reasons for either keeping or dumping UNE-P. But the arguments are all specious. AT&T and WorldCom claim that UNE-P keeps rates low. True, but only in the sense of a pyramid scheme. Regulators force the incumbent Bells to lease at low prices. Competitors buy discounted network elements under this pricing scheme and pass these discounts onto their retail customers. The improved profit margin comes not from competitors' use of better technology or more efficient use of network resources (unlike, say, VoIP service providers), but from government meddling with the wholesale/retail model. The difference is made up in higher prices for other services, taxes, subsidies and "surcharges" that are collected by all service providers.

 

The perception of competition

 

So to some extent, it's true what the incumbents say, competition under UNE-P is not competition at all, it's just a jerry-rigged set-up that creates the appearance of multiple players while doing little more than redistributing a limited pool of revenues. Also true is that UNE-P gives competitors an advantageous ride on network facilities in which they never invested and are not responsible for maintaining. Whether this was the intention of the Telecom Act is debatable, but the facts are hard to argue with. Despite all their professed eagerness for local competition since 1996, AT&T and MCI did not move into local exchange markets until last year, when the Bells finally began complying with UNE-P in order to get approval to offer long distance.

 

At the same time, the Bells have used UNE-P as an excuse to stop all network investment, especially in broadband DSL, claiming that selling facilities below cost provides no incentive for expansion. This is easier than admitting to a chronic inability to understand the forces driving the broadband market.

 

Where the Bells' argument begins to come apart is when they say that every competitor should build and own its own network. Powell apparently has embraced this notion, stating this opinion at a Goldman Sachs conference last October in New York, according to a report in The Wall Street Journal.

 

Here's where complicated logical circles begin to appear. The long-distance companies answer this argument by noting that building out networks comparable in scope to the Bells would be financially impractical. They are correct. But then again, in 2003, who would want to? 

 

Slouching toward irrelevance

 

The incumbent phone companies' only advantage in local service is ubiquity: they operate a well-maintained network that reaches just about every home and business in the country. But this network is only good for one thing -- point-to-point voice telephone calls.

 

Meanwhile, the market has begun to respond to integrated broadband networks that can support various aspects of personal information technology. In this environment, the incumbents' networks, despite their ubiquity, are less and less meaningful. This is reflected in numbers that show dial-tone access lines steadily declining while broadband connections to U.S. households this year -- in the midst of an industry downturn -- are expected to increase to 20 million from 15 million.

 

This ultimately begs the question as to why AT&T and WorldCom are investing so much time, money and policy energy into gaining the right to use a thin copper wire that each day becomes less valuable. Add to that the question why so much policy energy is wasted on companies that are bent on marginalizing themselves from the future. It's all the more stunning considering the fight over UNE-P reform is expected to go on for another two years.

 

Competitive networks are being built. Cable companies are doing a far better job of meeting demand for broadband than anyone right now. Next-generation wireless is expanding and new wireless consortiums, like Cometa Networks, are posing business models for public Wi-Fi. AT&T and WorldCom had ground floor opportunities in both. Instead, AT&T spun off wireless and sold its broadband cable TV operations. WorldCom ignored every strategic wireless and broadband opportunity and instead focused on pure size. Now both are down to the bets they've made on UNE-P and local dial-tone competition. What they want is a free ride. But in the end, like lots of things that come free, the ride isn't going to amount to much, especially by this time in 2005.

 

As for the Bells, they made the same bet, only on the opposite outcome: that as former monopolies they would be guaranteed some piece of the telecom future no matter what. Now they have fallen seriously behind in terms of network technology and broadband services. The argument that they will begin to spend once given the incentive of "fair" competition rings hollow. Every chance they have had to be proactively competitive in other areas -- enterprise networking, web hosting and phone retailing -- has consisted of token efforts followed by retreat. These companies will not lead the revival the industry.

 

In the end all that's left at the incumbents and the long distance companies is an enormous entitlement mentality that shouts: "We're big! We were here first! Therefore we deserve prizes!" even if they've done little in the last six years but run around in circles.

 

-- Steven Titch  

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